Hoping that the silver lining behind the recession and the collapsing housing market that created it will be a small increase or none in your home valuation this year?

Take take a deep breath and think again.

Market values rose only 1.3 percent in 2007, but the taxable valuation of the average homestead in El Paso County will jump 9 percent this year anyway.

And there is yet more to come next year, says the El Paso Central Appraisal District’s chief appraiser, Jerry Griffin.

The first batch of 50,000 appraisal notices from the El Paso Central Appraisal District will likely hit mailboxes Monday, and the news won’t be good for many – regardless of what you may have read recently.

Last year, the taxable values of 110,000 of the county’s 140,000 homesteads were capped at 10 percent.

About $2.1 billion in value – the equivalent of 20,000 homes worth $100,000 each – was left off the rolls because of the state-mandated cap.

That means taxable value was left over, and it’s coming home to mailboxes in the form of appraisal notices and, in October, property tax bills this year.

And Griffin said after this year’s 10 percent caps are in place, there will still be $1 billion in value on 86,000 homes waiting until next year.

The only lucky property owners this year are likely to be the ones who were the unluckiest last year.

“People who have rental property or investment property will see, on average, a 1.3 percent increase,” Griffin said.

Those property owners don’t get the the benefit of the 10 percent cap, so they took the full hit as property values in El Paso surged last year and the two years before that.